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홈 KINU연구 종류별 연구보고서 학술회의총서

연구보고서-학술회의총서

프린터

The Outlook for the North Korean Situation & Prospects for U.S.-ROK Cooperation After the Death of Kim Jong-il

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저자 Korea Institute for National Unification
발행년도/페이지 2012 / 107p. ;
시리즈번호 2012-01
가격
원문 새창이동
조회수 1657
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  • 초록
PANEL 1 Assessing the Situation in North Korea After the Death of Kim Jong-il

- North Korea after Kim Jong-il/ PARK Hyeong-Jung (Senior Research Fellow, KINU)

- Assessing the Situation in North Korea After the Death of Kim Jong-il/ Bruce Klingner (Senior Research Fellow, The Heritage Foundation)

PANEL 2 Examining the North Korean Nuclear Problem and the Security of the Korean Peninsula

- February 29 and March 16: North Korean Security and Diplomatic Strategy after the Death of Kim Jong-il/ Jonathan D. Pollack (Senior Fellow, John L. Thornton China Center, Brookings Institution)

- U.S.-North Korea Talks and North Korea’s Missile Launch Plans: Prospects and Policy Directions/ Park Jong-Chul (Senior Research Fellow, KINU)

PANEL 3 Exploring Ways to Improve Human Rights in North Korea Through International Cooperation

- How to Improve Human Rights of North Koreans in China and in North Korea: Focusing on the Recent North Korean Escapee Case/ CHO Jung-Hyun (Research Fellow, KINU)

- Exploring Ways to Improve Human Rights in North Korea through International Cooperation/ Greg Scarlatoiu (Executive Director, U.S. Committee for Human Rights in North Korea)

PANEL 4 Analyzing the Rise of China and Implications for U.S.-ROK Cooperation

- The Rise of China & Implications for U.S.-ROK Cooperation/ John S. Park (Director, Korea Working Group, USIP Project Director, Belfer Center, Harvard Kennedy School)

- The Rise of China and the US-led Asia-Pacific Alliance Network: Policy Suggestions for South Korea in the Context of the ROK-US Cooperation/ PARK Jae-Jeok (Research Fellow, KINU)
Summary of the Assessment
· North Korea is still ruled by Kim Jong-il
­ No changes in political arrangement as well as in domestic and foreign policy
· In late 2008 KJI pushed forward a new line of policy and political arrangements
­ The implementation started in 2009 and will be finished on April 15, 2012
· Passing through major events in mid April,
­ The main line of policy will only experience tactical adaptation,
­ Regarding political arrangement, the agencies of the central party will be promoted
· The future stability of the regime will be dependent on how much it could achieve its major policy objectives
­ Above all regarding foreign currency earning, and nuclear and humanitarian diplomacy to extract concessions and assistances.